Fantasy Football Outlook: Free Agency Impacts

With the NFL Free Agency period beginning today, a lot of big names will be changing places and changing schemes. With this comes a change in fantasy value. For example, last year the Bengals signed RB Benjarvus Green-Ellis, who became their feature back and had a decent season fantasy-wise with 1100 yards and 6 TDs. Green-Ellis was chosen a lot earlier last year based on the fact that he was going to be the number one guy in Cincinnati. No one ever knew what he was going to do in New England, as no one ever knows what Belichick is going to do with his RBs.

This year Mike Wallace, Jared Cook, Steven Jackson, Ahmad Brashaw, and Reggie Bush will change teams and it will also change their fantasy value. Wallace’s value in my opinion should DECREASE, because Tannehill is his QB. Wallace will be the number one WR in Miami, but Tannehill is not Roethlisberger. Wallace should still have a good season, but do not expect 1300 yards and 12 TDs.

Jared Cook’s fantasy value will skyrocket, because whichever team shells out money for him, will throw him the ball. Cook is a matchup nightmare with his rare size/speed combination. If Cook signs somewhere with a decent QB, expect him to get 65 to 70 catches and 900 yards while scoring around 8 TDs, great production for a TE.

Steven Jackson’s value has consistently gone down in the last few seasons, and will be down again this year. But, should he sign somewhere where the RB position is thin, like in Green Bay, his value will go up. Personally, I believe SJax goes to the Falcons or Jets, and we can not expect anything more than 800 yards and 4 TDs.

Ahmad Bradshaw is almost certainly going to be a starter wherever he goes. He still has a lot left in the tank, despite his injury history. I expect Bradshaw to get 1100 yds and 8 TDs somewhere.

Reggie Bush is said to have come to an agreement with the Lions or the Cardinals, and it is reported that he will be a member of the Lions. But, time will tell. I think Bush still can be a great player, but his fantasy value is limited due to his lack of playing time. Should he go to the Lions, he will be behind Mikel Leshoure, and should he go to the Cardinals, he will be splitting time with Ryan Williams. If Bush is named the starter, he can be a fantasy gem, but if not, he is a headache.

Others to keep an eye on, but their fantasy values will likely not change are Rashard Mendenhall, Wes Welker, and Greg Jennnings.

If you have any questions, follow me on twitter @JCollacchiPFC and ask away!

Josh Collacchi