Jets vs Patriots Preview

The Patriots and Jets will meet for the 29th time (including playoffs) in Tom Brady’s hall of fame career.

Brady is 21-7 against the division rival, while posting a 7-1 record in his last 8 games vs Gang Green.

Despite that tremendous success, first year Jets coaches are 3-1 against Bill Belichick in his time with the Pats, which bodes well for first year Jets coach Todd Bowles.

Tom Brady has struggled a bit in his career vs the Revis/Cromartie cornerback pairing. When targeting the duo, Brady has a passer rating of just 69.4. Compared to a passer rating of 97.7 against all other CBs.

What we have here is a classic strength vs strength matchup. The Jets come into the game as the #1 scoring defense in football, while the Patriots enter Week 7 as the #1 scoring offense.

Take a look at where the Patriots and Jets rank in the major offensive/defensive categories:

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Statistically, the Jets are one of the best teams in all of football. They are a +54 in terms of scoring differential this season (5th-most), and are top ten in both scoring offense and scoring defense.

Let’s take a look at how the Patriots might go about game planning for Week 7:

Offensive Game Plan: This Jets defense will be the best that the Patriots have faced this season, but there are some similarities with the defense in Buffalo. Both have an immense amount of talent along the defensive line and great cornerbacks. Expect the Patriots to come out with a similar look on offense, with Brady in the shotgun working the short passing game. Brady was able to eliminate the Bills pass rush in Week 2 by getting rid of the ball quickly on each of his 59 pass attempts. That quick release will need to be apart of this week’s game plan in order to avoid Brady spending the day under pressure. Also, look for the Patriots to find creative ways to get Julian Edelman involved. Edelman hasn’t done well in his career against New York, he has never eclipsed the 100-yard mark and only has one touchdown grab in 11 career games vs the Jets. Typically, the Patriots have the luxury of just imposing their will on the opposing team offensively. They will need to scheme ways to keep Edelman away from Revis, and attack the middle of the field away from the Jets strength at CB.

Defensive Game Plan: The Jets have been surprisingly effective on offense this season. They rank 7th in terms of points per game (25.8) and 8th in yards (379.8). The Patriots defense will have to key on the three most important members of this Jets offense: Chris Ivory, Brandon Marshall, and Eric Decker. Ivory has developed into one of the league’s top running backs, leading the league in rush YPG (115.0). The Patriots have struggled against the run in the early going, and will need a much better showing on Sunday if they want to win. Marshall has also re-emerged as one of the best receivers in football. Marshall and Decker both present matchup problems for the Patriots CBs. Both Jets receivers are big, physical athletes that can catch just about anything in their area. Marshall is particularly good at catching balls in traffic. This is a physical, physical offense. They are anchored by a terrific offensive line that has paved the way for Ivory to lead the league in rushing, and has allowed just 2 sacks this season. Ivory and Marshall have accounted for 54.2% of the Jets scrimmage yards this season. That ranks only behind Atlanta’s Julio Jones and Devonta Freeman for top teammate duos . Slowing down Ivory and Marshall will be the key defensively.

Injury Forecast: The Patriots could get receiver Brandon LaFell back this week, but may be without OG Shaq Mason (knee), OT Marcus Cannon (toe), DL Jabaal Sheard (ankle), and yet again LB Dont’a Hightower (ribs). Mason has developed into one of the Patriots best run blockers, and if Hightower is inactive again this doesn’t bode well against the run heavy Jets.