Should Patriots Let Brady Air It Out vs Colts?

There are two themes present in almost every Pats/Colts discussion heading into Sunday night’s matchup:

 

  1. The Patriots are going to win the game by 100 points because of deflategate revenge.
  2. They are going to continue to run the ball down Indianapolis’ throats.

 

In the last three games against the Chuck Pagano led Colts, the Patriots have rushed for 13 touchdowns and 219.0 yards per game.

LeGarrette Blount has had notable success against Indy. Rushing for 115.5 yards per game and 8 touchdowns in his 4 career games against the AFC South foe.

With all that success on the ground it would make sense for the Patriots to continue to do what works, and feature their power running game on Sunday.

With all that being said, it might be time for a new strategy against the Colts this time around.

The Colts pass defense has been the problem this year. Through the first five games of the season the Colts have surrendered the 5th-most passing yards in the NFL.

Furthermore, they have allowed 13 completions of 25+ yards (T-2nd most in NFL) and have only recorded six sacks this season (T-2nd fewest in NFL).

Here’s a breakdown of opposing QBs vs the Colts this year:

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If the likes of Ryan Mallet/Brian Hoyer, rookie Marcus Mariota, and second year QB Blake Bortles can have success then it’s safe to say Brady would have similar results.

The difference between Brady and the others is that if you give Brady that kind of time and space he will kill you for points, not just yards.

Number one receivers have also had success against Indianapolis this season:

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Nobody would blame the Pats for going with a formula they know will be successful, but the numbers show that passing against this Colts team breeds more success as of late.