JD’s Bills Flavored Mock Draft 2.0

By: PFC Contributor James Duignan

BuddyNix

1st Round

1. Kansas City Chiefs – LT Luke Joeckel Texas A&M

I don’t think Kansas City confuses this pick. They can’t sign Albert to a long term deal based on what he’s asking and his history of back injuries. They take the best player in the draft and worry about Albert later.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars – DE Dion Jordan Oregon

Some are expecting Geno to be a consideration here. New coach Gus Bradley will try to bring the same elements of the Seahawks defense to Jacksonville and it starts with getting the best pass rusher in the draft.

3. Oakland Raiders – QB Geno Smith WVU

I expected this pick to be either Milliner or Star until Oakland released Carson Palmer and traded for Flynn. I highly doubt Oakland is thinking Flynn will be a long-term option, and they have a chance to land the number 1 quarterback in this class. Oakland is going to be the worst team in football in 2013 so this pick will set them up for the future.  Geno might not be a very clean prospect but he will be in a good situation in Oakland without pressure to start right away, and on a team that relies (unsuccessfully) on their running game.

4. Philadelphia Eagles – LT Eric Fisher Central Michigan

Fisher or Milliner will be in play at 4. I think in Chip Kelly’s offense a LT will be a necessity to keep the QB upright and Fisher is an elite talent.

5. Detroit Lions – CB Dee Milliner Alabama

Milliner is a no-brainer for a team that has a horrible secondary. This pick is too predictable, something like Richardson to Cleveland last year.

6. Cleveland Browns – OLB Ziggy Ansah BYU

Cleveland only has one pick in the first two rounds (supplemental pick Josh Gordon) so they need to hit on this one. Signing Paul Kruger still leaves Cleveland with a need at OLB and Ansah is an absolute freak. If he plays anywhere near his potential he will be a pro bowl caliber pass rusher.

7. Arizona Cardinals – LT Lane Johnson Oklahoma

Arizona is dying for a LT and since there is no QB worth selecting at 7 they will take the best LT on their board. Lane Johnson is a late riser but many suggest he has top 5 talent. This need is long overdue.

8. Buffalo Bills – QB Matt Barkley USC

This pick was penciled in as Kenny Vaccaro or Chance Warmack (based on my pessimism with the brain trust at One Bills Drive), but after listening to Buddy Nix’s comments during the annual draft luncheon it changed a lot. First, Aaron Williams was moved from corner to safety. Second, he mentioned that guard wasn’t a need in the draft. Not only did they dispel those positions but gave glowing reports of Barkley and Nassib, going as far as comparing Barkley to Joe Montana in college. While I think Nassib has major consideration at this pick, I think he is passed over by a more superior and cleaner Barkley who is much more of an NFL ready quarterback than Nassib is. Further, I feel that if Buffalo did want Nassib they would be sending smoke screens everywhere about him not being an elite prospect rather than saying how much they like him. With that being said… wouldn’t be the slightest bit surprised if Nassib was the pick.

9. New York Jets – OLB Barkevious Mingo LSU

Apparently Rex loves Mingo. This pick makes sense for BPA and the need at OLB with Pace gone.

10.  Tennessee Titans – DT Star Lotulelei Utah

As with the pick before, Star fills a need along with being the best player available. Most consider him to be a top 5 pick, but I can’t see Nick Fairley slipping and Lotulelei staying up there with how many pass rushers are available.

11. San Diego Chargers – WR Tavon Austin WVU

Most will think this is crazy with San Diego signing an ineffective Meachem last off-season but these receivers are completely different. While Meachem is a one-trick-pony deep threat with size, Austin is a guy you want touching the ball 15 times a game. He will be in the mold of Desean Jackson or Percy Harvin, something the slow Chargers offense could use.

12. Miami Dolphins – CB Xavier Rhodes Florida St.

More so a fill the need pick at 12. Rhodes is a good, not great corner who has very good size and measurables. Miami should hope he becomes their next Sean Smith.

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – DT Sheldon Richardson Missouri

This pick won’t happen. The Bucs will be trading this pick to the Jets for Revis, but since mock drafts can’t have trades I will keep it as is. Richardson would fill a great need for Tampa Bay, and has the talent of a top ten pick.

14. Carolina Panthers – WR Deandre Hopkins Clemson

Nuke Hopkins is most pro-ready physical widereceiver in this draft. Most think Patterson should be the first guy off the board but the combination of his apparent body catching and his one-year stay at Tennessee makes him too risky for the top 15. Nuke can make every catch, can go over the middle, and will be the successor to Steve Smith in Carolina as Cam’s number 1 target.

15. New Orleans Saints – OLB Jarvis Jones Georgia

The Saints are bringing in the 3-4 defense this season, and would love to get a pass rusher to help ease the transition. Jarvis Jones is probably the best player in this entire draft but has many questions around his health and potential based on poor numbers.

16.  St. Louis Rams – OG Chance Warmack Alabama

St. Louis has quite a few needs here and Warmack is probably the best player available. They have another pick at 22 so it’s not essential they draft for need here. I think Warmack instantly improves the offensive line that will try to reestablish itself with Steven Jackson leaving in free agency.

17. Pittsburgh Steelers – TE Tyler Eifert Notre Dame

I know this isn’t the greatest need for the Steelers but with Wallace leaving and Heath Miller being injured late in the year, Big Ben will need some weapons. OLB is the trendy pick for the Steelers but if Jones Mingo and Ansah are all off the board by 17, Pittsburgh will need to adjust and look at Eifert who is the BPA at this point.

18. Dallas Cowboys – S Kenny Vaccaro Texas

Solid pick and a big need for the Cowboys. Vaccaro left a lot to be desired at Texas, but could start from day one and has the potential to be an impact safety in the NFL.

19. New York Giants – OG Jonathan Cooper UNC

Cooper is exactly what the Giants need this offseason to fix their running game. If they want to take some pressure off Eli and get their first round pick involved in the running game they need to get a hog infront of him. Cooper, like Warmack, is an instant impact player at guard.

20.  Chicago Bears – DT Sylvester Williams UNC

Chicago would probably go tight if Eifert was still available (even with the signing of Bennett) but Williams gives them a young anchor in the middle of their 4-3 defense. While LB can’t be counted out at this pick, I think there is still value in the second round.

21. Cincinnati Bengals – OT DJ Fluker Alabama

DJ Fluker looks to be the exact opposite of Andre Smith. Hard working physical marvel at RT. Retaining Smith is looking unlikely now and Fluker may be better in the long run.

22. St. Louis Rams – RB Eddie Lacy Alabama

The Rams could go WR at this pick but between Givens and Quick they should let their young guys develop before they draft another. Lacy looked just as good as Richardson and Ingram at Alabama, and was a star in the National Championship. While he is probably a better fit on a cold weather team, he will be a great asset to a team that needs to develop an offense.

23. Minnesota Vikings – WR Cordarrell Patterson Tennessee

Like Dez Bryant, Patterson will find himself in the 20’s because of the bust potential of being too raw. Also like Bryant, he is a physical freak and if he plays to that potential he will be the next Randy Moss. This gives three weapons and the best running back in football to help hide the deficiencies of Ponder.

24. Indianapolis Colts – CB Desmond Trufant Washington

Trufant will fit a big need in Indy. This late in the draft he must be considered a steal at his potential.

25. Minnesota Vikings – LB Manti Te’o Notre Dame

If Te’o didn’t have a fake girlfriend he would probably still be in the top 20 consideration. While many are thinking he falls out of the first round, I highly doubt he gets past this pick. The Vikings love Golden Domers and they currently have no MLB on their roster.

26. Green Bay Packers – OT Manelik Watson Florida St.

Watson would be a great pick for the Packers who thought Bulaga could eventually become their blindside protector. Watson is very raw but covets top 10 potential as a left tackle.

27. Houston Texans – WR Justin Hunter Tennessee

While Allen is a much better player, no receiver in this draft has the size and speed combination better than Hunter. Houston covets this, as they have been starting a horrible Kevin Walter for his size and physicality on the outside. Hunter had a down year after being considered a top 10 pick early in the process, but many think its due to the double teams he saw that freed up Patterson at Tennessee.

28. Denver Broncos – DE Tank Carradine Florida St.

Suprisingly Carradine is the first Florida St. defensive end off the board. While Werner was considered a much better prospect in December, those who watched Florida State late in the season shouldn’t be surprised by his fall. Carradine was the much superior defensive end and could replace Dumervil in the starting lineup.

29. New England Patriots – CB Jamar Taylor Boise State

The Patriots seem to have a need at corner every season. Maybe this year they hit on it with the selection of Jamar Taylor who is skyrocketing up draft boards a week before the big dance.

30. Atlanta Falcons – DE Bjeorn Werner Florida St.

While Werner disappointed many, he is a steal at 30. Tight end could be an option but Ertz isn’t complete enough to be considered here. Werner would replace Abraham in the 4-3.

31. San Francisco 49ers – S Matt Elam Florida

San Fran will likely do some maneuvering in the draft because of their amount of picks, but if they stand pat at 31 they may be able to scoop up Elam. Elam will fit the need with Dashon Goldson leaving, and hopefully he can help Donte Whitner in coverage this season.

32. Baltimore Ravens – LB Alec Ogletree Georgia

Ogletree has top 10 potential but had a hectic offseason filled with DUI’s and questionable interviews. If there is one team to turn it around it’s the Ravens who also just signed the Oakland bust Rolando McClain.

2nd Round

33. Jacksonville Jaguars – QB Ryan Nassib Syracuse

Nassib won’t compete in 2013 behind Henne and Gabbert, but could easily be their starter going into 2014 with his great work ethic and strong arm. Someone will likely move back into the first for him.

34. San Francisco 49ers – DE Datone Jones UCLA

The 49ers were helpless at DE when Justin Smith went down this season, and luckily for them he is half human half robot. They need to find someone to replace him eventually and Datone Jones is one of the best 3-4 DE prospects in this draft.

35. Philadelphia Eagles – QB EJ Manuel Florida St.

The steal of the draft. Many are knocking Manuel because he may not be able to start from day 1 but he offers the most upside out of any QB in this draft. As with Nassib, I doubt they last this long and teams will most likely move up into the 20-30 range to land either one. Manuel possesses elite arm strength, great speed, and in the new “read-option” trend in the NFL he will be highly coveted by whoever drafts him.

36. Detroit Lions – OT/G Justin Pugh Syracuse

Detroit needs to keep Stafford healthy. Pugh can play every position on the offensive line, and is the definition of a solid 2nd round pick.

37. Cincinnati Bengals – WR Robert Woods USC

While it wouldn’t be a surprise to anyone for the Bengals to draft Allen (they love failed drug tests in Cinci), Woods is exactly what they need to compliment AJ Green. While Allen is a feature receiver, Woods is the type of guy who will run the dirty routes and go over the middle. He will be a perfect fit in the Begnals offense.

38. Arizona Cardinals – QB Mike Glennon NC State

The Cards are apparently in love with Glennon. While I think he has many flaws, he also covets one of the best arms in the draft. Without being needed to start in 2013 with the addition of Palmer, Glennon could benefit from a few years of developing (similar to Brock Osweiler in Denver).

39. New York Jets – CB DJ Hayden Houston

Trading Revis will leave the Jets with a huge need at corner. While they drafted Kyle Wilson in the first a few years ago, he has never turned out to be more than an above average nickel corner. Hayden would provide excellent value this late.

40. Tennessee Titans – S Jonathan Cyprien FIU

Tennessee needs safety help and can’t rely on the aging George Wilson to start beside Griffin. This pick may not be intruiging to the fans, but Cyrpien could be a long time starter in this league in the right situation.

41. Buffalo Bills – WR Keenan Allen CAL

Keenan Allen is far from the typical Bills pick but I highly doubt they let him slip past 41. The same could have been said for Rueben Randle last year, but Allen has more on-field production, and a much better understanding of the game. Allen is a prototypical backside WR who fits Buddy’s “open when he’s covered” mold. For those of you thinking I’m crazy for dropping Allen this far, he is coming off a serious injury, ran horribly at his pro-day, and has reportedly failed a drug test at the combine; not your typical 1st round WR off-season. Robert Woods would be the pick if he happened to fall this far, or Quinton Patton if both are gone. I can’t see Buffalo taking Kelce, or Ertz based on their needs for a complete tight end, and both have either limitations in blocking (Ertz) or baggage (Kelce). This pick heavily depends on the drug test from the combine, as it could be something very little and keeps him in the first round, or it could have a big effect on his stock plummeting. If a freak like Dez Bryant can slip to pick 24 because of off the field issues, I can definitely see Allen slipping to 41.