JD’s Mock Draft 1.0

MOCK DRAFT 1.0

PFC Writer James Duignan

1st Round

1. Kansas City Chiefs – LT Luke Jockel Texas A&M

Kansas City is in a great situation after trading (arguably way too much) for Alex Smith. They know they can’t miss on a QB with the first overall pick, and while I’d argue Geno Smith and Barkley look like good players, Andy Reid is as good as any at squeezing talent out of subpar quarterbacks. Jockel looks to be a very sure thing and will give blindside protection to Alex Smith for the foreseeable future.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars – DT Shariff Floyd Florida

With a lot of holes, Jacksonville should be attacking the draft with a best player available. David Caldwell should start this draft off right by taking a guy who can solidify which looks to be a strong defensive line. After everything Gene Smith put this franchise through, they need to start building a foundation out of the best players. Floyd looks to be as safe as a pick as you can find, and Jacksonville can wait out the Gabbert/Henne situation (or maybe add one in the later rounds) to find their next signal caller.

3. Oakland Raiders – DT Star Lotulelei Utah

Oakland is in a horrible cap situation, and until they decide to restructure or cut Palmer, I expect this pick to shore up their defensive line. Releasing Seymore will hurt the defense more than most think, and drafting a stud like Lotulelei will help ease that transition. Expect this pick to be Geno if they do anything with Palmer.

4. Philadelphia Eagles – LT Eric Fisher Central Michigan

Philly is a strange team because they always seem to look good on paper, yet somehow those players never pan out. This pick could very well be Milliner but it doesn’t make much sense to let two corners walk and waste a top 5 pick on another one. Philly needs a solid tackle to be able to keep Vick upright, and to effectively run the zone-read attack Kelly will be bringing to Philly.

5. Detroit Lions – CB Dee Milliner Alabama

This draft pick needs no explanation. If it happens it will be the perfect combination of BPA and absolute need. Detroit will be running to the podium.

6. Cleveland Browns – OLB Dion Jordan Oregon

With the expected change to the 3-4 Cleveland could use an edge rusher. Dion Jordon is a perfect fit being too small to be a prototype 4-3 DE, but would excel in a 3-4. He lit up the combine posting unbelievable numbers for a pass rusher, and would give Cleveland a very serviceable pass rush with both Jordan and Sheard and Phil Taylor being a prototypical 3-4 nose tackle.

7. Arizona Cardinals – QB Matt Barkley USC

I expect this pick to surprise many, however its being reported Barkley is very high on Arizona’s radar so maybe it wont surprise as many as I think. To me, Barkley looks like a very good QB prospect. He lacks elite zip on his ball, but that was the same criticism of Brady and Brees coming out of college and they turned out to be ok. How many elite armed QB’s do you see who bust in the NFL? Somewhere Jamarcus is still planning his comeback…..

8. Buffalo Bills – QB Geno Smith West Virginia

For Bills fans this pick shouldn’t need much explanation. Buffalo is in dire need of a franchise quarterback. I have never seen a team be so passive on trying to find a quarterback, after the Drew Bledsoe trade they used a late first on Losman, a third on Edwards, and have been using 7th round picks, free agency, and even practice squads to try to find a serviceable option. Clearly Buffalo is behind the trend on how to address the most important position in football, but if Doug Whaley has any say in this draft I believe that Geno will be the pick. He is known as a gym rat, and is known to be a tireless worker in the film room. Geno might not be as polished as many would hope being a top ten pick, but most thought the same of Cam Newton going into the 2010 draft. If both Geno and Barkley are gone I expect this pick to be Cordarrell Patterson or Kenny Vacarro. Patterson is a needed position, and I think Buddy Nix has a thing for safeties (as he was high on Barron last year).

9. New York Jets – OLB Jarvis Jones Georgia

The Jets need to be smart about this pick. In typical Rex Ryan fashion they will address another need position on defense. Jones is a very good pick this late, and will be an elite pass rusher at the next level. Jones will hope to fortify a decent front 7 after the Jets had to cut all of their ridiculous contracts this off-season.

10. Tennessee Titans – DE Ezekiel Ansah BYU

Tennessee always seems to be in the market for pass rushers. Ezekiel Ansah is an absolute freak, and with his size and speed could be very reminiscent of JPP. After hearing he didn’t even train for the combine before lighting it up, I’d be surprised if Tennessee is able to land him this late.

11. San Diego Chargers – S Kenny Vacarro Texas

Vacarro would be perfect to supplement the sure tackling Eric Weddle. I would be surprised to see Vacarro slip out of the top ten, but if he does a team like San Diego will scoop up the BPA at this point.

12. Miami Dolphins – CB Xavier Rhodes Florida State

With Davis being traded before the start of the 2012, and Sean Smith likely to make bank in free agency, Miami will need to start replacing these corners. Xavier Rhodes is a big physical corner that could match up well against bigger opponents.

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – DE Bjeorn Werner Florida State

Tampa Bay needs some pass rush help. Da’quan Bowers hasn’t panned out, Michael Bennett is a free agent, and Adrian Clayborn coming off of a torn ACL. I’m not a huge fan of Bjeorn Werner as he leaves a lot to be desired and had a lot of lucky sacks at FSU, but at 13 he’s a steal for Tampa Bay.

14. Carolina Panthers – WR Cordarrell Patterson Tennessee

I think Patterson would be chosen a lot earlier had he not worked out at the combine. Most were expected fluid route running, good hands, and a blazing 40. He got beaten in nearly every category by his fellow Tennessee teammate Justin Hunter which may raise eyebrows to scouts. Carolina would be in a perfect situation to draft Patterson. He would be the primary receiver to compliment an aging Steve Smith, and give Cam Newton a true deep threat.

15. New Orleans Saints – DT Sheldon Richardson Missouri

New Orleans needs some interior presence to shore up their defensive line. Sedrick Ellis will likely leave in free agency, making this an even bigger need.

16. St. Louis Rams – OT Lane Johnson Oklahoma

Its no secret St. Louis needs an offensive tackle. Sam Bradford has been given no help at all as a franchise quarterback and this will be a step in the right direction. Hopefully they hit on this pick unlike Jason Smith a few years ago.

17. Pittsburgh Steelers – OLB Barkevious Mingo LSU

Pittsburgh is going through a big defensive overhaul right now. Quietly they will need to make the same transition they did a few years back when they replaced Joey Porter with James Harrison. Harrison is becoming more fragile and older by the day, and Pittsburgh realizes that constant pressure from their OLB is a necessity for their 3-4 scheme.

18. Dallas Cowboys – G Chance Warmack Alabama

Dallas could go a number of ways with this pick. I believe that if they strike out on landing a guard on the free agent market, they will take a chance on Warmack (no pun intended). Every year it seems that a guard is a “once in a generation” type of player, but they all seem to pan out so I can’t blame Dallas with this selection, while it is a luxury.

19. New York Giants – LB Alec Ogletree Georgia

The Giants are in a great position to draft Ogletree after his DUI arrest before the combine. Teams realize that 4-3 Mike LB’s are not a highly regarded position, however, the Giants seem to be missing that key piece of their defense that Antonio Pierce provided years ago. While another pass rusher could be an option, they would be better suited to take the best LB available rather than reaching for a second tier pass rusher this late.

20. Chicago Bears – TE Tyler Eifert Notre Dame

Eifert solidified himself with a strong combine. The Bears aren’t keeping it a secret that they want a TE. Unless someone takes Eifert before he reaches this point; I can’t see him getting past Chicago.

21. Cincinnati Bengals – RB Eddie Lacy Alabama

Cincinatti has been missing a feature running back since the days of Rudi Johnson. While Cedric Benson put up some good numbers for Cinci, he wasn’t much of a game changer. I haven’t been able to figure out how Lacy was kept under the radar so much. In college he looked as good as Ingram or Richardson did, and yet wasn’t being highly regarded until the past few weeks. I think Lacy put on a show this season, and will be an every down back for the Bengals.

22. St. Louis Rams – DT Sylvester Williams UNC

The Rams are only a few pieces away from a very good defense under Jeff Fisher. Sylvester Williams is the best player available, at a need position. A mammoth out of North Carolina and will help the Rams run defense immediately.

23. Minnesota Vikings – WR Keenan Allen Cal

I don’t think its fair to call Ponder a bust when he is throwing to receivers like Devin Aromashodu, Jerome Simpson, and Michael Jenkins. When Percy is not concussed or demanding a trade he is the only option Ponder has. If Minnesota wants to help his cause they will give him a big play receiver like Allen who will hopefully help Ponder the same way Braylon Edwards helped Sanchez in his rookie season.

24. Indianapolis Colts – DE Margus Hunt SMU

Indy is switching to a 3-4 so they will need an interior presence. Hunt is a prototypical 3-4 end who would also provide pass-rushing skills similar to JJ Watt in Houston.

25. Seattle Seahawks – WR Justin Hunter Tennessee

Seattle will get the steal of the draft in my opinion if they decide to take Hunter with this pick. A big athletic receiver who had a down campaign due to double teams and bracket coverage, Hunter will be reminiscent of Plaxico (NYG) at the next level except a lot more speed.

26. Green Bay Packers – OT DJ Fluker Alabama

Green Bay is expected to kick Bulaga to LT this year. If they decide to do so they will need to replace Bulaga and Newhouse isn’t an option. Fluker looks like a sure thing at RT and will thrive in his natural position.

27. Houston Texans – WR Tavon Austin West Virginia

Austin is probably the most intriguing prospect in the draft, and reminds many scouts of Percy Harvin. If Houston uses him properly as a slot runner to push back the secondary, or as a hot read option (due to his very quick and precise route running) he will make Matt Shaub look like he’s in 2009 form.

28. Denver Broncos – OG Jonathan Cooper North Carolina

Denver has the luxury of taking the best player available at this point due to not having any glaring holes on their team. Cooper will be an impact guard in the NFL and will help solidify a very good offensive line.

29. New England Patriots – DE Damontre Moore Texas A&M

New England seems to be the team to take chances on over analyzed prospects falling in the draft and seem to hit on them more than they miss. Moore reminds me a lot of Spikes from a few years ago where a horrible combine killed his momentum in the draft. If Moore goes to New England and displays anything similar to what he did at A&M last season, New England will have two of the scariest young DE’s in the game.

30. Atlanta Falcons – TE Zach Ertz Stanford

Although Atlanta needs to get younger on defense, I think Ertz will be the pick if he’s available. One of the two premier TE’s in this class, Ertz will be brought in to be a replacement for Gonzo if he decides to retire, and learn under him if he decides not to. Giving Matt Ryan another option is never a bad idea.

31. San Francisco 49ers – CB Marcus Trufant

San Fran looked to have a very strong secondary until Flacco exposed them in the Super Bowl. Trufant would be a steal this late, and would help be a physical cover corner. Hopefully they hit on this pick unlike last years AJ Jenkins reach.

32. Baltimore Ravens – LB Manti Te’o Notre Dame

To me, this pick would be a dream scenario for Baltimore. At 32, they’re getting a lot more than they bargained for. With Lewis retiring, and Ellerbe likely leaving, Baltimore is in dire need of an impact LB. Te’o would be perfect in their 3-4 defense, not having to rely on his speed (or lack there of). Replacing a leader like Lewis with Te’o is similar, in my opinion, to replacing Manning with Luck in Indy.

2nd Round

33. Jacksonville Jaguars – QB EJ Manuel Florida State

As much as many are mocking Manuel to Philly, I doubt he makes it that far. I expect another team to trade up into the back end of the first to land him. Anyone who watched Manuel this year knows he’s a capable starter, and unlike many of the other quarterback projects, he would be able to compete from day one. I think truly do think Jacksonville is ready to go into 2013 with Henne and Gabbert, but I find it hard to believe they would pass on Manuel (my pick to be a late riser).

34. San Francisco 49ers – DE Datone Jones UCLA

Justin Smith won’t play forever, and eventually they will need someone to step in as a replacement. Datone Jones is an ideal 3-4 defensive end, and is a very good run defender, eating up blocks as a big defender.

35. Philadelphia Eagles – CB Blidi Wreh-Wilson UCONN

Wreh-Wilson will be a late riser when many see the UCONN standout on film. He looks to be a very large fluid cover corner who could be very similar to a younger Asomugha. Philly will surely need a corner to replace Asomugha, and Wreh-Wilson will be able to step in from day 1.

36. Detroit Lions – DE Alex Okafor Texas

Detroit needs a replacement for Avril who is set to get paid at the start of free agency. Okafor was a standout for Texas and looked equally as good in the practices of the Senior Bowl. He was slowed by an injury that kept him out of the game, as well as the combine. Had he played I expect he would be in the top half of the first round. Don’t be surprised if his name is called much sooner.

37. Cincinnati Bengals – OLB Khaseem Green Rutgers

Going into 2012 the Bengals had two solid linebackers in Maualuga and Lawson. Going into 2013, ironically, the only starting linebacker on the roster is Vontaze Burfict. The Bengals are likely to replace both linebackers after leaving a lot to be desired, as well as move Burfict to his natural position at Mike LB. Green would be an impact starter from day one similar to Lavonte David.

38. Arizona Cardinals – OT Manelik Watson Florida State

Outside of quarterback, Arizona’s biggest need is an offensive tackle. Watson could be an upside pick at this point as an ideal blind side protector. If the Cardinals decide to pass on a quarterback at 7 (most likely for a LT), expect this pick to be a QB.

39. New York Jets – QB Ryan Nassib Syracuse

Nassib is the total opposite of Mark Sachez, which would be a great thing to many Jets fans. Nassib is very raw, but has a very strong head on his shoulders and comes from a pro offense. With quarterbacks like Wilson and Glennon bombing the Senior Bowl and Combine, a weak class and easily the best arm in the draft help Nassib skyrocket up draft boards. Expect him to be a solid starter in 2014.

40. Tennessee Titans – OT/OG Justin Pugh Syracuse

Chris Johnson seems to blame his offensive line for poor blocking very often. While Roos and Stewart are solid tackles, Pugh can literally play any position on the offensive line and teams will covet his versatility coming from a very pro-ready system at Syracuse.

41. Buffalo Bills – LB Kevin Minter LSU

At this point I think Minter would be the best option for Buffalo. Unless they address this position adequately in free agency, I think its still too early for the next tier of wide receivers like Woods or TE’s like McDonald or Reed. Minter is from the SEC (Buddy Nix approves), and is an ideal fit as a 3-4 inside linebacker.

42. Miami Dolphins – TE Gavin Escobar San Diego State

Miami is losing Fasano and Egnew doesn’t look like the player most expected coming out last year. Tannehill needs another target.

43. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – CB Jonathan Banks Mississippi State

Very good player, but his horrible 40 time at the combine pushes him out of the first round. Tampa Bay needs to fill the void left by trading Talib.

44. Carolina Panthers – DT Kawann Short Purdue

Kuechly played out of his mind last season but Carolina still needs help in the front 7 to help stop their anemic run defense. Short is a steal this late.

45. San Diego Chargers – NT Jonathan Jenkins Georgia

Need to upgrade from Cam Thomas. San Diego’s defense hasn’t been the same since Jamal Williams left in free agency, and Jenkins could be the plug in the middle they’re looking for.

46. St. Louis Rams – OLB Sam Montgomery LSU

Rob Ryan will bring his 3-4 to St. Louis and they will need another pass rusher to fit his scheme. Montgomery should be a lot higher based on performance but he lost a lot of stock at the combine with his “taking games off” remark.

47. Dallas Cowboys – WR Quinton Patton Louisiana Tech

I expect Dallas to do something with Austin, as they can’t afford paying him so much with such little production. Patton is a surprising option but would succeed being a third option behind Witten and Dez, giving Romo some more help.

48. Pittsburgh Steelers – RB Le’Veeon Bell Michigan State

Need a replacement for Mendenhall. The Steelers offense was dragged down by their running back play. Some consider Bell far and away the best RB prospect in this class.

49. New York Giants – OT Terron Armstead Arkansas-Pine Bluff

The Giants filled their glaring DT hole by signing Cullen Jenkins. They could go a number of ways with this pick (wide receiver if Cruz signs as an RFA) but Armstead offers the highest ceiling. His athleticism and size could make him a franchise LT.

50. Chicago Bears – LB Kevin Riddick North Carolina

Urlacher is aging and becoming more of a liability than an asset. Riddick could come in and immediately help this defense.

51. Washington Redskins – S Matt Elam Florida

Washington has a glaring need in the back of their defense. Elam stepped up to be a big contributor on a surprising Florida defense, and would start immediately being an impact safety for the Skins.

52. Minnesota Vikings – CB DJ Hayden Houston

Would be an excellent fit in the Cover-2 scheme, as he’s great in run support as well as a very instinctive player. They need to develop a corner to eventually succeed Antoine Winfield.

53. Cincinnati Bengals – SS Jonathan Cyprien Florida International

Cinci will need to address safety to solidify a very solid defense. Cyprien is great value this late, and the small school guy could really provide great value at 53.

54. Miami Dolphins – DE Tank Carradine Florida State

Miami needs more help on their defensive front, as outside of Cam Wake they have been unable to generate pressure in their new 4-3 defense. Carradine, in my opinion, helped Werner go so early and will be the real steal of this draft.

55. Green Bay Packers – DE Jonathan Hankins Ohio State

Jerrel Worthy didn’t step up the way most thought he would last year. They need to keep addressing this position until they get it right. Hankins is a beast and will bring GB back to their 3 grossly oversized DE’s they found success with years ago.

56. Seattle Seahawks – DT Brandon Williams Missouri Southern State

Seattle needs interior help and Brandon Williams will help set the tone. He is a perfect fit to provide a plug on a team with an up and coming defense.

57. Houston Texans – OLB Corey Lemonier Auburn

Houston desperately needs a pass rusher with Barwin likely leaving in free agency. Outside of Whitney Marcilus (who isn’t proven) they will solely rely on JJ Watt to provide a pass rush. Lemonier is a late riser and may be a first round pick by the time the draft comes.

58. Denver Broncos – WR Ryan Swope Texas A&M

Stokely had a surprising season but he is old and they need to add some youth to this offense. Swope is exactly what Manning needs in the slot and will add to a dangerous offensive arsenal.

59. New England Patriots – WR DeAndre Hopkins Clemson

Lloyd is looking likely to be released. Brady will always be successful with his two tight ends and Welker, but Hopkins is a special talent who will be able to fill the outside role the way Branch and Lloyd were unable to.

60. Atlanta Falcons – DT Jesse Williams Alabama

Atlanta needs another DT and Williams is a day one starter coming from a very reliable program. He is a scary/massive dude who will plug up the middle of the defense.

61. San Francisco 49ers – WR Robert Woods USC

San Fran made the mistake last year of over drafting AJ Jenkins. They should make up for it this year by drafting Woods, who was considered a top ten pick at this time last year had he come out.

62. Baltimore Ravens – WR Terrance Williams Baylor

Boldin is likely on his way out after not taking a pay cut. Terrance Williams has slipped a lot through the process but had RGIII still been at Baylor, Williams would still be a borderline first round pick. Williams gives franchise QB Flacco another option on the outside.